Copa Libertadores
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Franklin Carabali
3'
-
Franklin Carabali
3'
-
Rommel Andres Cabezas Briones
62'
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Rommel Andres Cabezas Briones
62'
-
Jose Ignacio Flor Blanco
75'
-
Jose Ignacio Flor Blanco
75'
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Dixon Arroyo
43'
-
Dixon Arroyo
43'
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Charles Velez
78'
(OG)
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Charles Velez
78'
(OG)
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Mario Pineida
90'
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Mario Pineida
90'
El Nacional vs Barcelona SC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona SC win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for El Nacional had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona SC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest El Nacional win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barcelona SC in this match.
Result
El Nacional
31.22%
▲
(+0.07)
Draw
26.24%
▲
(+0.01)
Barcelona SC
42.55%
▼
(-0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
52.26%
▲
(+0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.83%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
52.17%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
26.12%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
73.88%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 4.5
12.08%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
87.93%
▼
(-0.02)
El Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
69.05%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 0.5
30.96%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 1.5
32.75%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
67.26%
▼
(-0.07)
Barcelona SC Goals
Over 0.5
75.7%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
24.31%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
41.32%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
58.69%
▲
(+0.04)
Score analysis
El Nacional
31.22%
Draw
26.23%
Barcelona SC
42.55%
El Nacional
1-0
@
8.82%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.32% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 31.22%
2-1 @ 7.32% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 31.22%
Draw
1-1
@
12.47%
0-0 @ 7.52% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 26.23%
0-0 @ 7.52% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 26.23%
Barcelona SC
0-1
@
10.64%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.83% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.53% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.44%
1-4 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 42.55%
1-2 @ 8.83% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.53% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.44%
1-4 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 42.55%