Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 2nd Leg

Mar 13, 2025 at 12.30am UK

Arena Corinthians

Corinthians
2 - 0
Barcelona

Torres (40', 40'), Carrillo (84', 84')
Garro (45+2'), Garro (45+2'), Henrique (90+4'), Magno (90+1'), Henrique (90+4'), Magno (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Contreras (42'), Contreras (42'), Leonai (46'), Leonai (46'), Vallecilla (90+1'), Vallecilla (90+1')
Leonai (62'), Leonai (62')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Corinthians and Barcelona SC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Barcelona 3-0 Corinthians
Thursday, March 6 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Barcelona SC

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Barcelona 3-0 Corinthians
Thursday, March 6 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 63.34%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 16.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Barcelona SC win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Corinthians in this match.

Result
Corinthians	Draw	Barcelona SC
63.34% ( -0.09)	20.47% ( 0.13)	16.18% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 52.67% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.18% (

-0.71)

42.82% (

0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.78% (

-0.71)

65.22% (

0.7)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.12% (

-0.24)

12.87% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.74% (

-0.5)

39.26% (

0.5)

Barcelona SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.45% (

-0.49)

39.54% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.76% (

-0.46)

76.23% (

0.46)

Score Analysis

Corinthians 63.33%

Barcelona SC 16.18%

Draw 20.47%

Corinthians	Draw	Barcelona SC
2-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.25% Total : 63.33%	1-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.47%	0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.96% Total : 16.18%