MX23RW : Saturday, March 15 05:10:46| >> :120:8756:8756:
Corinthians
Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 13, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Arena Corinthians
Barcelona SC (Ecuador)

Corinthians
2 - 0
Barcelona

Torres (40'), Carrillo (84')
Garro (45+2'), Henrique (90+4'), Magno (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Contreras (42'), Leonai (46'), Vallecilla (90+1')
Leonai (62')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Corinthians and Barcelona SC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 3-0 Corinthians
Thursday, March 6 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Barcelona 3-0 Corinthians
Thursday, March 6 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 63.34%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 16.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Barcelona SC win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Corinthians in this match.

Result
CorinthiansDrawBarcelona SC
63.34% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09) 20.47% (0.135 0.13) 16.18% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 52.67% (-0.577 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.18% (-0.708 -0.71)42.82% (0.705 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.78% (-0.707 -0.71)65.22% (0.705 0.7)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.12% (-0.244 -0.24)12.87% (0.242 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.74% (-0.5 -0.5)39.26% (0.497 0.5)
Barcelona SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.45% (-0.494 -0.49)39.54% (0.491 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.76% (-0.46 -0.46)76.23% (0.458 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 63.33%
    Barcelona SC 16.18%
    Draw 20.47%
CorinthiansDrawBarcelona SC
2-0 @ 10.69% (0.14 0.14)
1-0 @ 10.43% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 7.31% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.78% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.75% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.48% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.54% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 63.33%
1-1 @ 9.68% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.09% (0.158 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.47%
0-1 @ 4.72% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 4.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.39% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 16.18%

Head to Head
Mar 6, 2025 12.30am
Third Round 1st Leg
Barcelona
3-0
Corinthians
Corozo (45+2' pen., 84'), Rivero (80')
Leonai (56'), Corozo (83')

Torres (31'), Souza (42'), Hugo (77'), Henrique (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
8Aston Villa2912984145-445
9Bournemouth28128847341344
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2896133248-1633
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!