Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 75.38%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 8.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.73%) and 3-0 (11.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for a Boston River win it was 0-1 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.