Bahia
Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 14, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Boston River logo

Bahia
1 - 0
Boston River

Lucas (59', 59')
Gilberto (89'), Gilberto (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vera (31'), Vera (31'), Bortagaray (62'), Bortagaray (62')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Bahia and Boston River.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Boston River 0-0 Bahia
Friday, March 7 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Boston River

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Progreso 2-2 Boston River
Sunday, March 9 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 75.38%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 8.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.73%) and 3-0 (11.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for a Boston River win it was 0-1 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
BahiaDrawBoston River
75.38% (-0.557 -0.56)16.39% (0.418 0.42)8.23% (0.139 0.14)
Both teams to score 40.76% (-0.749 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.06% (-1.399 -1.4)44.94% (1.4 1.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.71% (-1.361 -1.36)67.29% (1.362 1.36)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.77% (-0.498 -0.5)10.23% (0.498 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.45% (-1.152 -1.15)33.55% (1.153 1.15)
Boston River Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.4% (-0.58 -0.58)54.59% (0.581 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.36% (-0.355 -0.36)87.64% (0.355 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 75.37%
    Boston River 8.23%
    Draw 16.39%
BahiaDrawBoston River
2-0 @ 14.51% (0.25 0.25)
1-0 @ 12.73% (0.49 0.49)
3-0 @ 11.03% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.68% (-0.148 -0.15)
4-0 @ 6.29% (-0.167 -0.17)
4-1 @ 3.81% (-0.17 -0.17)
5-0 @ 2.87% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.082 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.74% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.072 -0.07)
6-0 @ 1.09% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 75.37%
1-1 @ 7.71% (0.165 0.17)
0-0 @ 5.58% (0.329 0.33)
2-2 @ 2.66% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 16.39%
0-1 @ 3.38% (0.144 0.14)
1-2 @ 2.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.02% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 8.23%

Head to Head
Mar 7, 2025 12.30am
Third Round 1st Leg
Boston River
0-0
Bahia