MX23RW : Wednesday, May 14 04:19:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Mar 9, 2025 at 8pm UK
Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
Boston River logo

Progreso
2 - 2
Boston River

Colombino (3'), Fernandez (90' pen.)
Silvera (82'), Alberto Ordonez Esterilla (85'), Fernandez (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rodriguez (73'), Ariel Noguera Rolon (90+10')
Dafonte Cambre (23'), Emmanuel Gomez Pineiro (72'), Rodriguez (85')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Boston River.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Danubio 1-1 Progreso
Sunday, February 23 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 0-0 Bahia
Friday, March 7 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 56.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 19.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.38%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Progreso win it was 1-0 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
ProgresoDrawBoston River
19.02% (-0.041 -0.04) 24.8% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07) 56.18% (0.108 0.11)
Both teams to score 44.97% (0.122 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.08% (0.19600000000001 0.2)55.92% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.97% (0.16 0.16)77.02% (-0.163 -0.16)
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.11% (0.067999999999998 0.07)43.89% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.97% (0.056000000000001 0.06)80.03% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Boston River Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.14% (0.11800000000001 0.12)19.85% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.05% (0.193 0.19)51.95% (-0.196 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Progreso 19.02%
    Boston River 56.17%
    Draw 24.8%
ProgresoDrawBoston River
1-0 @ 7.18% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-1 @ 4.78%
2-0 @ 2.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.31% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.06% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 19.02%
1-1 @ 11.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.71% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-2 @ 3.86% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 14.08% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 11.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.38% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.14% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.06% (0.028 0.03)
0-4 @ 2.48% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.04% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 56.17%

Head to Head
Oct 16, 2024 9.30pm
Gameweek 8
Boston River
1-0
Progreso
Damiani (77' pen.)
Cougo (45'), Damiani (59'), Marta (69'), Rodriguez (90+1'), Rodriguez (90+6')
Damiani (80')

Castillo (24'), Joaquin Martin Colman (69')
Apr 13, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 8
Progreso
1-0
Boston River
Silva (4')
Gonzalez (22'), Labraga (52'), Lopez (70')

Costa (47'), Ramos (74'), Perez (90+4')
Nov 8, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Boston River
0-0
Progreso
Alvarez (12'), Lozano (55')
Marta (2'), Paiva (85'), Romero (90+3'), Bentaberry (90+6')
Jul 16, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 11
Progreso
1-0
Boston River
Morales (90')
Formento (16')

Nadruz (57')
Feb 23, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 9
Boston River
2-3
Progreso
Bentancourt (44' pen., 52' pen.)
Fernandez (34'), (49'), Nadruz (58'), (87')
Gonzalez (51' pen.), Platero (59'), Fernandez (82')
(79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LiverpoolLiverpool148512191229
2NacionalNacional1484233151828
3Juventud148332114727
4Defensor SportingDefensor147341610624
5PenarolPenarol147341916324
6Racing de MontevideoRacing14644139422
7Cerro Largo145631515021
8Boston RiverBoston River146351617-121
9Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia145451211119
10Montevideo City TorqueTorque144551520-517
11ProgresoProgreso143651625-915
12CerroCerro143561320-713
13Miramar Misiones143291523-811
14River PlateRiver Plate142481019-910
15Montevideo WanderersWanderers141671117-69
16DanubioDanubio140951016-69


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!