Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Progreso
Feb 16, 2025 8.00pm
1
5
HT : 0 6
FT Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
Nacional
  • Gonzalo Jorge Alberto Silva 25' yellowcard
  • Carlos Alberto Ordonez Esterilla 47' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Fernandez 52' goal
  • Nicolas Fernandez 52' goal
  • Adrian Colombino 53' yellowcard
  • Facundo Silvera 55' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 67' yellowcard
  • Agustin Pinheiro Goggia 81' yellowcard
  • goal Jeremia Recoba 11'
  • goal Jeremia Recoba 11'
  • goal Diego Herazo 17'
  • goal Diego Herazo 17'
  • goal Nicolas Lopez 36'
  • goal Nicolas Lopez 36'
  • yellowcard Julian Millan 41'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Lopez 49'
  • yellowcard Christian Oliva 55'
  • goal Nicolas Lopez 63'
  • goal Nicolas Lopez 63'
  • goal Bruno Gustavo Arady Mata 84'
  • goal Bruno Gustavo Arady Mata 84'

Progreso vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Progreso

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Feb 7, 2025 10.00pm
Cerro Largo 4 - 1 Progreso
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Agustin Nahuel Moreira Morales

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Feb 9, 2025 10.30pm
Nacional 1 - 1 Penarol
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Nicolas Lopez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 71.43%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 10.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.14%) and 0-3 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Progreso win it was 1-0 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result

Progreso 10.21% ▼ (-0.26)
Draw 18.36% ▼ (-0.04)
Nacional 71.43% ▲ (+0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.43% ▼ (-0.77)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.65% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 2.5 47.34% ▲ (+0.53)
Over 3.5 30.43% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 3.5 69.56% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 4.5 14.97% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 4.5 85.02% ▲ (+0.35)

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5 48.18% ▼ (-0.84)
Under 0.5 51.81% ▲ (+0.83)
Over 1.5 14.11% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 1.5 85.88% ▲ (+0.56)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 88.06% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 0.5 11.93% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 62.7% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 1.5 37.3% ▲ (+0.15)

Score analysis

Progreso 10.21%
Draw 18.36%
Nacional 71.42%
Progreso
1-0 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 10.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.64% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 18.36%
Nacional
0-2 @ 13.97% ▲ (+0.24)
0-1 @ 13.14% ▲ (+0.25)
0-3 @ 9.9% ▲ (+0.14)
1-2 @ 9.19% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.07)
0-4 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.06)
1-4 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.05)
0-5 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.08)
1-5 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 71.42%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Progreso
Sep 30, 2024 12.00am
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
Nacional
  • Gustavo Alles 18' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Alles 18' yellowcard
  • Danilo Asconeguy 33' yellowcard
  • Danilo Asconeguy 33' yellowcard
  • Jorge Gonzalez 60' yellowcard
  • Jorge Gonzalez 60' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Lemmo 78' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Lemmo 78' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Castillo 81' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Castillo 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexis Castro 12'
  • yellowcard Alexis Castro 12'
  • yellowcard Ruben Bentancourt 13'
  • yellowcard Ruben Bentancourt 13'
  • goal Sebastian Coates 45'+2'
  • goal Sebastian Coates 45'+2'
  • goal Exequiel Mereles de la Quintana 60'
  • goal Exequiel Mereles de la Quintana 60'
  • goal Jeremia Recoba 66'
  • goal Jeremia Recoba 66'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Nacional
Mar 23, 2024 9.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 8
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
Progreso
  • Erik De Los Santos 19' yellowcard
  • Erik De Los Santos 19' yellowcard
  • Erik De Los Santos 19' yellowcard
  • Jose Varela 63' yellowcard
  • Jose Varela 63' yellowcard
  • Jose Varela 63' yellowcard
  • Tomas Veron 72' goal
  • Tomas Veron 72' goal
  • Tomas Veron 72' goal
  • Tomas Veron 72' goal
  • Diego Zabala 72' yellowcard
  • Juan Rivero 83' yellowcard
  • Juan Rivero 83' yellowcard
  • Juan Rivero 83' yellowcard
  • Federico Santander 89' yellowcard
  • Tomas Veron 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Tomas Veron 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Tomas Veron 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Lucas Monzon 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Lucas Monzon 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Lucas Monzon 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Diego Polenta 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Viera 18'
  • goal Leonardo Sequeira 20'
  • goal Leonardo Sequeira 20'
  • goal Leonardo Sequeira 20'
  • goal Leonardo Sequeira 20'
  • yellowcard Martin Marta 31'
  • yellowcard Camilo Mayada 35'
  • yellowcard Camilo Mayada 35'
  • yellowcard Camilo Mayada 35'
  • goal Leonardo Sequeira 40'
  • goal Leonardo Sequeira 40'
  • goal Leonardo Sequeira 40'
  • goal Leonardo Sequeira 40'
  • yellowcard Gaston Colman 60'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Sequeira 66'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Sequeira 66'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Sequeira 66'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Darias 70'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Darias 70'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Darias 70'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Lemmo 87'
  • yellowcard Alex Silva 89'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Nacional
Sep 19, 2021 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
Progreso
  • Diego Rodriguez 52' yellowcard
  • Brian Ocampo 60' yellowcard
  • Diego Polenta 89' yellowcard
  • Leandro Fernandez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luciano Olaizola 4'
  • yellowcard Danilo Asconeguy 45'
  • goal Gaston Colman 57'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Andrada 64'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Gottesman 90'+4'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Progreso
May 23, 2021 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
Nacional
  • Jonathan Ramis 21' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Alles 33' yellowcard
  • Danilo Asconeguy 43' yellowcard
  • Fabricio Fernandez 59' goal
  • Rodrigo Rojo 68' redcard
  • Christian Paiva 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Bergessio 33'
  • goal Gonzalo Bergessio 37'
  • goal Leandro Fernandez 41'
  • yellowcard Camilo Candido 51'
  • yellowcard Brian Ocampo 60'
  • yellowcard Guzman Corujo 74'
  • yellowcard Rafael Garcia 83'
  • goal Alfonso Trezza 87'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 8
Progreso
Feb 18, 2021 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Nacional
  • Rodrigo Viega 28' yellowcard
  • Anthony Sosa 57' yellowcard
  • goal Gonzalo Bergessio 44'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Bergessio 88'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 8
Nacional
Aug 27, 2020 12.15am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Progreso
  • Pablo Garcia 18' goal
  • Thiago Vecino 45' goal
  • Rodrigo Nahuel Amaral Pereira 52' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Amaral 52' yellowcard
  • Paulo Vinicius 54' yellowcard
  • Armando Mendez 81' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Fernandez 81' yellowcard
  • Agustin Gonzalez 81' yellowcard
  • redcard Joaquin Gottesman 37'
  • goal Alex Silva 76'

Form Data

Cerro Largo 4 - 1 Progreso
Progreso 1 - 3 Penarol
Cerro Largo 2 - 1 Progreso
Progreso 1 - 5 Penarol
Progreso 2 - 2 Fenix
Defensor 3 - 0 Progreso
Nacional 1 - 1 Penarol
Torque 1 - 0 Nacional
Nacional 3 - 1 Boston River
Danubio 0 - 0 Nacional
Nacional 5 - 2 Maldonado
Fenix 0 - 6 Nacional