Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Feb 23, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Complejo Rentistas
Boston River2 - 3Progreso
Bentancourt (44' pen., 52' pen.)
Fernandez (34'), (49'), Nadruz (58'), (87')
Fernandez (34'), (49'), Nadruz (58'), (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gonzalez (51' pen.), Platero (59'), Fernandez (82')
(79')
(79')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Boston River and Progreso.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 49.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 24.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.7%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Boston River win it was 1-0 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Progreso would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boston River | Draw | Progreso |
| 24.19% | 26.46% | 49.36% |
| Both teams to score 46.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
