Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

Apr 9, 2025 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Olimpico Pascual Guerrero

America
1 - 1
Corinthians

Alejandro Ramos Leiva (24', 24')
Carrascal (31'), Carrascal (31'), Carlos Pestana (59'), Carlos Pestana (59'), Carlos Pestana (83'), Antonio Cavadia Pedraza (83'), Carlos Pestana (83'), Antonio Cavadia Pedraza (83')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Matheuzinho (81', 81')
Andres Martinez (30'), Andres Martinez (30'), Matheuzinho (45+1'), Matheuzinho (45+1'), Matheuzinho (54'), Matheuzinho (54')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between America de Cali and Corinthians.

Form, Standings, Stats

America de Cali

Last Game: Racing 1-3 America
Thursday, April 3 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Corinthians

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Corinthians 3-0 Vasco
Saturday, April 5 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America de Cali win with a probability of 50.25%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 23.15%.

The most likely scoreline for an America de Cali win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
America de Cali	Draw	Corinthians
50.25% ( -0.02)	26.6% ( -0.06)	23.15% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 45.4% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.82% (

0.29)

58.19% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.17% (

0.23)

78.83% (

-0.23)

America de Cali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.72% (

0.12)

23.28% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.79% (

0.17)

57.21% (

-0.17)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.18% (

0.25)

40.82% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.6% (

0.23)

77.4% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

America de Cali 50.24%

Corinthians 23.15%

Draw 26.6%

America de Cali	Draw	Corinthians
1-0 @ 13.85% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.91% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 50.24%	1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.6%	0-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.26% Total : 23.15%