Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America de Cali win with a probability of 43.07%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 26.83%.
The most likely scoreline for an America de Cali win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.02%) and 1-2 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 1-0 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that America de Cali would win this match.