Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 3, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Centenario

Racing
1 - 3
America

Da Silva (90+2')
Bueno (37'), Rodriguez (52')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Holgado (13'), Vergara (32'), Alejandro Ramos Leiva (83')
Alejandro Ramos Leiva (77')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Racing de Montevideo and America de Cali.

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Progreso 0-1 Racing
Sunday, March 30 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

America de Cali

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Junior 2-2 America (3-4 pen.)
Friday, March 7 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America de Cali win with a probability of 43.07%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 26.83%.

The most likely scoreline for an America de Cali win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.02%) and 1-2 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 1-0 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that America de Cali would win this match.

Result
Racing de MontevideoDrawAmerica de Cali
26.83% (0.436 0.44)30.1% (0.050999999999998 0.05)43.07% (-0.48699999999999 -0.49)
Both teams to score 39.66% (0.128 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.03% (0.026000000000003 0.03)66.97% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.76% (0.02 0.02)85.24% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.53% (0.403 0.4)42.47% (-0.403 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.16% (0.343 0.34)78.84% (-0.34400000000001 -0.34)
America de Cali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.95% (-0.262 -0.26)31.05% (0.263 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.63% (-0.307 -0.31)67.37% (0.307 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Racing de Montevideo 26.83%
    America de Cali 43.07%
    Draw 30.08%
Racing de MontevideoDrawAmerica de Cali
1-0 @ 11.29% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 5.66% (0.078 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.84% (0.102 0.1)
3-1 @ 1.61% (0.04 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.38% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 0.94% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 26.83%
1-1 @ 13.2% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 13.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.31% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 30.08%
0-1 @ 15.42% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-2 @ 9.02% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 7.72% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.52% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 43.07%