Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 9

Mar 30, 2025 at 2pm UK

Parque Federico Omar Saroldi

Progreso
0 - 1
Racing

Colombino (23'), Pinheiro Goggia (45+1'), Nahuel Moreira Morales (70'), Gentilio (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ramirez (12')
Pereira (25'), Valentin Caceres (33'), Pablo Bosca Fraquelli (58')
Pereira (90+9')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Racing de Montevideo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Progreso

All competitions

Last Game: Wanderers 1-1 Progreso
Thursday, March 27 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions

Uruguayan Primera Division

Last Game: Racing 1-0 River Plate
Wednesday, March 26 at 5pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 46.99%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 25.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.22%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Progreso win it was 1-0 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Racing de Montevideo in this match.

Result
Progreso	Draw	Racing de Montevideo
25.91% ( 0.54)	27.1% ( 0.09)	46.99% ( -0.64)

Both teams to score 46.56% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.02% (

0.01)

57.98% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.33% (

0.01)

78.67% (

-0.01)

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.83% (

0.49)

38.17% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.07% (

0.46)

74.93% (

-0.46)

Racing de Montevideo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.3% (

-0.3)

24.7% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.76% (

-0.42)

59.24% (

0.42)

Score Analysis

Progreso 25.91%

Racing de Montevideo 46.99%

Draw 27.09%

Progreso	Draw	Racing de Montevideo
1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.6% Total : 25.91%	1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.43% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.09%	0-1 @ 13.18% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 9.22% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 8.88% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.34% Total : 46.99%