Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Mar 23, 2025 at 6.30pm UK
Parque Federico Omar Saroldi

Progreso
2 - 1
River Plate

Maldonado (49'), Gonzalez (88')
Alberto Ordonez Esterilla (42'), Colombino (75'), Maldonado (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cruz De los Santos (9')
Alfonso (35'), Correa (50')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Progreso

All competitions
Last Game: Miramar Misiones 1-1 Progreso
Sunday, March 16 at 12.45am in Uruguayan Primera Division

River Plate

All competitions
Last Game: River Plate 0-2 Boston River
Tuesday, March 18 at 12.15am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Progreso win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
ProgresoDrawRiver Plate
32.97% (0.094000000000001 0.09)27.86% (0.079000000000001 0.08)39.16% (-0.174 -0.17)
Both teams to score 47.87% (-0.21 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.99% (-0.273 -0.27)58.01% (0.273 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.3% (-0.215 -0.22)78.69% (0.215 0.22)
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.27% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)32.73% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.71% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)69.29% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.16% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)28.83% (0.231 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.31% (-0.288 -0.29)64.69% (0.288 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Progreso 32.97%
    River Plate 39.15%
    Draw 27.86%
ProgresoDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 10.54% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 7.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.89% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.73% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.19% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 32.97%
1-1 @ 13.1% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.44% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.86%
0-1 @ 11.73% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.15% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.3% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.03% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 39.15%

Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 9
Progreso
2-0
River Plate
Colman (60'), Alles (73' pen.)
Barreto (58'), Castro (58')
Jun 9, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 1
Progreso
1-0
River Plate
Fernandez (14')
Garcia (45+3'), Colombino (90+11'), Joaquin Hernandez Alvarez (90+7')

Galletto (25'), Olivera (90+7'), Corbo (90+12')
Apr 21, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 9
River Plate
2-2
Progreso
Lavega (27' pen.), Gonzalez (74')
Moreno (41'), Campos (75'), Barrios (87'), Galletto (90+2'), Irrazabal (90+1')
Silva (7'), Lopez (63' pen.)
Piegas (24'), Poiso (54'), Andrada (67'), Garcia (90+3'), Silva (90+3')
Oct 9, 2021 2.15pm
Gameweek 5
Progreso
1-0
River Plate
Olaizola (2')
Barboza (89')

Brunelli (7'), Bonifazi (44'), Arezo (51'), Rodriguez (74'), Pablo Plada Ricci (90+4')
Jun 12, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 5
River Plate
4-0
Progreso
Salaberry (24'), Borbas (35'), Bonifazi (38'), Castro (71')
Bonifazi (19'), Ichazo (64'), Boggio (67')

Gallardo (89')
rhs 2.0


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