Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jun 12, 2021 at 7pm UK
Parque Federico Omar Saroldi

River Plate
4 - 0
Progreso

Salaberry (24'), Borbas (35'), Bonifazi (38'), Castro (71')
Bonifazi (19'), Ichazo (64'), Boggio (67')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Gallardo (89')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Progreso.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
River PlateDrawProgreso
29.31%26.31%44.38%
Both teams to score 51.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.76%53.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.21%74.79%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.13%32.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.55%69.45%
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.13%23.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.93%58.07%
Score Analysis
    River Plate 29.31%
    Progreso 44.37%
    Draw 26.31%
River PlateDrawProgreso
1-0 @ 8.73%
2-1 @ 6.96%
2-0 @ 4.86%
3-1 @ 2.58%
3-2 @ 1.85%
3-0 @ 1.8%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 29.31%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 7.85%
2-2 @ 4.98%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 11.24%
1-2 @ 8.96%
0-2 @ 8.05%
1-3 @ 4.28%
0-3 @ 3.84%
2-3 @ 2.38%
1-4 @ 1.53%
0-4 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 44.37%

rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!