Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Oct 9, 2021 at 2.15pm UK
Parque Abraham Paladino

Progreso
1 - 0
River Plate

Olaizola (2')
Barboza (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brunelli (7'), Bonifazi (44'), Arezo (51'), Rodriguez (74'), Pablo Plada Ricci (90+4')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Progreso win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
ProgresoDrawRiver Plate
33.53%27.69%38.78%
Both teams to score 48.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.72%57.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.88%78.13%
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.02%31.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.56%68.45%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.29%28.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.46%64.54%
Score Analysis
    Progreso 33.52%
    River Plate 38.77%
    Draw 27.69%
ProgresoDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 10.46%
2-1 @ 7.45%
2-0 @ 5.97%
3-1 @ 2.83%
3-0 @ 2.27%
3-2 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 33.52%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.18%
2-2 @ 4.65%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.69%
0-1 @ 11.45%
1-2 @ 8.15%
0-2 @ 7.15%
1-3 @ 3.39%
0-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 1.93%
1-4 @ 1.06%
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 38.77%

rhs 2.0


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