Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Mar 16, 2025 10.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
  • Lucas Monzon 5' yellowcard
  • Lucas Rodriguez 60' yellowcard
  • Esteban Da Silva 69' yellowcard
  • goal Diego Herazo 41'
  • yellowcard Yonatan Rodriguez 80'

Racing de Montevideo vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 9, 2025 10.30pm
Penarol 0 - 2 Racing
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Sebastian Sosa

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 8, 2025 11.00pm
Nacional 3 - 3 River Plate
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Nicolas Lopez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 58.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 16.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.71%) and 1-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 1-0 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nacional in this match.

Result

Racing de Montevideo 16.38% (-0.23)
Draw 24.82% (-0.11)
Nacional 58.8% (+0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.57% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.69% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 59.31% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 20.29% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 79.71% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 8.5% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 91.49% (-0.02)

Racing de Montevideo Goals

Over 0.5 50.82% (-0.27)
Under 0.5 49.18% (+0.28)
Over 1.5 15.91% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 84.08% (+0.20)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 79.84% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 20.16% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 47.56% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 52.44% (-0.24)

Score analysis

Racing de Montevideo 16.38%
Draw 24.81%
Nacional 58.79%
Racing de Montevideo
1-0 @ 7.04% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 4% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 2.5% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 16.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.26% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 9.91% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.2% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 24.81%
Nacional
0-1 @ 15.87% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 12.71% (+0.10)
1-2 @ 9.02% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.79% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 4.82% (+0.03)
0-4 @ 2.72% (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.93% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 58.79%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 11
Nov 8, 2024 11.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Centenario
  • Lucas Rodriguez 7' yellowcard
  • Gaston Bueno 26' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Cotugno 77' yellowcard
  • Jose Varela 80' yellowcard
  • Renzo Bacchia 82' yellowcard
  • Hugo Magallanes 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Federico Santander 28'
  • goal Lucas Sanabria 42'
  • yellowcard Diego Polenta 55'
  • goal Jeremia Recoba 81'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 11
May 4, 2024 12.00am
4
2
HT : 4 2
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Antonio Galeano 8' goal
  • Antonio Galeano 8' goal
  • Alexis Castro 35' yellowcard
  • Alexis Castro 36' yellowcard
  • Ruben Bentancourt 43' goal
  • Ruben Bentancourt 44' goal
  • Christian Oliva 57' yellowcard
  • Christian Oliva 57' yellowcard
  • Juan Izquierdo 68' yellowcard
  • Juan Izquierdo 68' yellowcard
  • Juan Izquierdo 79' goal
  • Juan Izquierdo 79' goal
  • Tomas Veron 79' yellowcard
  • Federico Santander 90'+1' goal
  • Federico Santander 90'+1' goal
  • goal Tomas Veron 11'
  • goal Tomas Veron 12'
  • yellowcard Oscar Quinonez 30'
  • yellowcard Oscar Esteban Quinonez Mendoza 31'
  • yellowcard Hugo Magallanes 47'
  • yellowcard Hugo Magallanes 47'
  • yellowcard Tomas Veron 71'
  • yellowcard Tomas Veron 71'
  • yellowcard Tomas Veron 85'
  • yellowcard Jose Varela 85'
  • goal Santiago Mederos 86'
  • yellowcard Jose Varela 86'
  • goal Santiago Mederos 87'
  • redcard Hugo Magallanes 89'
  • redcard Hugo Magallanes 89'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Oct 6, 2023 12.00am
1
2
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Centenario
  • Octavio Rivero 39' goal
  • Octavio Rivero 39' goal
  • Leandro Vega 42' yellowcard
  • Leandro Vega 43' yellowcard
  • Luis Mejia 58' yellowcard
  • Luis Mejia 58' yellowcard
  • Leandro Vega 71' redcard
  • Leandro Vega 71' redcard
  • Jose Varela 81' yellowcard
  • Jose Varela 81' yellowcard
  • goal Federico Martinez 25'
  • goal Federico Martinez 26'
  • yellowcard Diego Polenta 39'
  • yellowcard Diego Polenta 41'
  • yellowcard Francisco Ginella 52'
  • yellowcard Francisco Ginella 52'
  • goal Federico Martinez 57'
  • goal Federico Martinez 57'
  • redcard Diego Polenta 63'
  • redcard Diego Polenta 63'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Jul 9, 2023 10.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Centenario
  • Tomas Veron 45' goal
  • Gaston Bueno 65' goal
  • goal Manuel Monzeglio 26'
  • goal Yonatan Rodriguez 52'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Feb 26, 2023 11.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Ignacio Ramirez 7' goal
  • Ignacio Ramirez 30' goal
  • Emmanuel Gigliotti 79' goal
  • goal Agustin Alaniz 72'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Sep 22, 2019 11.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Matias Vina 8' goal
  • Felipe Carvalho 35' yellowcard
  • Rafael Garcia 50' yellowcard
  • Matias Zunino 64' yellowcard
  • Thiago Vecino 78' goal
  • Thiago Vecino 80' goal
  • Felipe Carballo 91' yellowcard