Copa do Brasil
Apr 29, 2025 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Itaipava Arena Pernambuco
  • Gustavo Salomao Miguel 22' yellowcard
  • Richard Franco 33' goal
  • Rayan Rodrigues Ribeiro 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bruno Pacheco 38'
  • yellowcard David Luiz 43'
  • yellowcard Yago Pikachu 83'
  • goal Juan Martin Lucero 88'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Martinez 90'

Retro vs Fortaleza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Retro

All competitions

Fortaleza

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 46.03%. A win for Retro had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Retro win was 1-0 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result

Retro 27.06% (+0.03)
Draw 26.92% (+0.02)
Fortaleza 46.03% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.91% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.33% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 56.67% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 22.37% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 77.63% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 9.73% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 90.27% (+0.04)

Retro Goals

Over 0.5 63.53% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 36.48% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 26.74% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 73.26% (+0.02)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5 75.42% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 24.59% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 40.92% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 59.08% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Retro 27.06%
Draw 26.91%
Fortaleza 46.02%
Retro
1-0 @ 9.04% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 6.4% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.56% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.15%
3-0 @ 1.53% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 27.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.68%
0-0 @ 8.97% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.91%
Fortaleza
0-1 @ 12.58% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.9% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.83% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.16% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.13% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.45% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 46.02%