Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
Apr 29, 2025 at 11pm UK
Itaipava Arena Pernambuco
Fortaleza

Retro
1 - 1
Fortaleza

Franco (33')
Salomao Miguel (22'), Rodrigues Ribeiro (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Martin Lucero (88')
Pacheco (38'), Luiz (43'), Pikachu (83'), Martinez (90')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Third Round clash between Retro and Fortaleza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Retro

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Atletico GO 1-1 Retro (1-3 pen.)
Thursday, March 13 at 12.30am in Copa do Brasil
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Fortaleza

All competitions
Last Game: Sport 0-0 Fortaleza
Sunday, April 27 at 12am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 46.03%. A win for Retro had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Retro win was 1-0 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
RetroDrawFortaleza
27.06% (0.024999999999999 0.02)26.92% (0.018999999999998 0.02)46.03% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Both teams to score 47.91% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.33% (-0.055 -0.05)56.67% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.37% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)77.63% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Retro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.53% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)36.48% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.74% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)73.26% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.42% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)24.59% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.92% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)59.08% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Retro 27.06%
    Fortaleza 46.02%
    Draw 26.91%
RetroDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 9.04% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.56% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.15%
3-0 @ 1.53% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 27.06%
1-1 @ 12.68%
0-0 @ 8.97% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.91%
0-1 @ 12.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.83% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 4.16% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.13% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.45% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 46.02%