Copa do Brasil | Second Round
Mar 13, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Antonio Accioly

Atletico GO
1 - 1
Retro

Henrique da Silva Dantas (60', 60')
Pottker (89'), Pottker (89')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Douglas (40', 40')
Retro win 3-1 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Second Round clash between Atletico Goianiense and Retro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Goianiense

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: ASA 1-1 Atletico GO (5-6 pen.)
Thursday, February 20 at 12.30am in Copa do Brasil

Retro

All competitions
Last Game: Jequie 1-2 Retro
Wednesday, February 26 at 10.30pm in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 57.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Retro had a probability of 16.72%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Retro win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Atletico GoianienseDrawRetro
57.35% (0.168 0.17)25.93% (-0.090999999999998 -0.09)16.72% (-0.073 -0.07)
Both teams to score 38.56% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.63% (0.189 0.19)62.37% (-0.185 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18% (0.139 0.14)82.01% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Atletico Goianiense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.02% (0.15000000000001 0.15)21.99% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.71% (0.224 0.22)55.29% (-0.221 -0.22)
Retro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.42% (0.016999999999996 0.02)50.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.95% (0.012 0.01)85.06% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Goianiense 57.34%
    Retro 16.72%
    Draw 25.93%
Atletico GoianienseDrawRetro
1-0 @ 16.84% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 12.75% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.44% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.39% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.44% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.5% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 57.34%
1-1 @ 11.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 11.12% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 2.96% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 7.58% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 3.91% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.58% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 16.72%