Copa do Brasil | First Round
Feb 20, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca

ASA
1 - 1
Atletico GO

K (67')
P (36'), J (58'), O (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
C (42')
Vinicius (2'), Marcinho (9'), Romao (73')
Atletico GO win 6-5 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil First Round clash between ASA and Atletico Goianiense.

Form, Standings, Stats

ASA

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Atletico Goianiense

All competitions
Last Game: Bahia 2-0 Atletico GO
Sunday, December 8 at 7pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for ASA had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest ASA win was 1-0 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%).

Result
ASADrawAtletico Goianiense
32.06% (-1.284 -1.28)28.92% (0.342 0.34)39.02% (0.944 0.94)
Both teams to score 44.67% (-1.203 -1.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.12% (-1.357 -1.36)61.88% (1.36 1.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.35% (-1.014 -1.01)81.65% (1.016 1.02)
ASA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.58% (-1.63 -1.63)35.42% (1.632 1.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.82% (-1.732 -1.73)72.18% (1.733 1.73)
Atletico Goianiense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.17% (-0.114 -0.11)30.83% (0.115 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.9% (-0.131 -0.13)67.1% (0.133 0.13)
Score Analysis
    ASA 32.05%
    Atletico Goianiense 39.01%
    Draw 28.91%
ASADrawAtletico Goianiense
1-0 @ 11.33% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 6.92% (-0.291 -0.29)
2-0 @ 5.88% (-0.228 -0.23)
3-1 @ 2.39% (-0.214 -0.21)
3-0 @ 2.04% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-2 @ 1.41% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 32.05%
1-1 @ 13.33% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 10.91% (0.54 0.54)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.185 -0.19)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.91%
0-1 @ 12.84% (0.59 0.59)
1-2 @ 7.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 7.56% (0.33 0.33)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.97% (0.121 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 39.01%