Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-2 (7.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.