Ludogorets
Europa League | League Stage
Jan 23, 2025 at 8pm UK
Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)
Midtjylland

Ludogorets
0 - 2
Midtjylland


Piotrowski (28'), Verdon (43')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Osorio (18'), Byskov (90+5')
Mbabu (53'), Chilufya (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ludogorets Razgrad and FC Midtjylland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Ludogorets 2-2 AZ
Thursday, December 12 at 5.45pm in Europa League
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Last Game: Porto 2-0 Midtjylland
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.1%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Midtjylland would win this match.

Result
Ludogorets RazgradDrawFC Midtjylland
35.72% (0.033999999999999 0.03)23.69% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)40.59%
Both teams to score 62.44% (0.137 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.46% (0.176 0.18)39.53% (-0.179 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.12% (0.185 0.18)61.88% (-0.186 -0.19)
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.85% (0.097999999999999 0.1)22.15% (-0.099 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.46% (0.149 0.15)55.54% (-0.152 -0.15)
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.21% (0.073999999999998 0.07)19.79% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.15% (0.12 0.12)51.85% (-0.123 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Ludogorets Razgrad 35.72%
    FC Midtjylland 40.59%
    Draw 23.69%
Ludogorets RazgradDrawFC Midtjylland
2-1 @ 8.07%
1-0 @ 6.61% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.05% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.53% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 35.72%
1-1 @ 10.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.53% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.39% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.77% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.69%
1-2 @ 8.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.1% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.68% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.53% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.11% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.9% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.43% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.26% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 40.59%

How you voted: Ludogorets vs Midtjylland

Ludogorets Razgrad
69.1%
Draw
12.3%
FC Midtjylland
18.5%
81
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Ludogorets
0-0
Midtjylland
Despodov (19'), Cicinho (24')
Dyhr (28'), Paulinho (39'), Charles (74')
Sep 16, 2021 5.45pm
Group Stage
Midtjylland
1-1
Ludogorets
Isaksen (3')
Onyedika (85')
Despodov (32')
Badji (35'), Santana (44'), Cicinho (90+8')
Aug 26, 2020 6.30pm
Second Qualifying Round
Ludogorets
0-1
Midtjylland

Abel (45'), Marin (81'), Moti (85')
Brumado (78')
Kraev (7'), Onyeka (42'), Paulinho (62')