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Champions League

Ludogorets
Champions League | Second Qualifying Round
Aug 26, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Ludogorets Arena
Midtjylland

Ludogorets
0 - 1
Midtjylland


Abel (45'), Marin (81'), Moti (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Brumado (78')
Kraev (7'), Onyeka (42'), Paulinho (62')
Coverage of the Champions League Second Qualifying Round clash between Ludogorets Razgrad and FC Midtjylland.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 58%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 18.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.69%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Ludogorets Razgrad win it was 1-0 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for FC Midtjylland in this match.

Result
Ludogorets RazgradDrawFC Midtjylland
18.98%23.02%58%
Both teams to score 50%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.84%49.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.77%71.23%
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.01%39.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.35%76.65%
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.33%16.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.47%46.53%
Score Analysis
    Ludogorets Razgrad 18.98%
    FC Midtjylland 57.99%
    Draw 23.01%
Ludogorets RazgradDrawFC Midtjylland
1-0 @ 6.11%
2-1 @ 5.02%
2-0 @ 2.8%
3-1 @ 1.53%
3-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 18.98%
1-1 @ 10.94%
0-0 @ 6.67%
2-2 @ 4.49%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 23.01%
0-1 @ 11.94%
0-2 @ 10.69%
1-2 @ 9.81%
0-3 @ 6.39%
1-3 @ 5.86%
0-4 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 2.68%
1-4 @ 2.62%
2-4 @ 1.2%
0-5 @ 1.03%
1-5 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 57.99%