Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 45.2%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.14%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.