Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 37.02% ( | 27.76% ( | 35.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.63% ( | 57.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.81% ( | 78.19% ( |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.21% ( | 29.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.13% ( | 65.87% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.08% ( | 30.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.79% ( | 67.21% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 11.15% ( 2-1 @ 7.93% ( 2-0 @ 6.75% ( 3-1 @ 3.2% ( 3-0 @ 2.73% ( 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 4-1 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.41% Total : 37.02% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0-0 @ 9.21% ( 2-2 @ 4.65% ( Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.76% | 0-1 @ 10.81% ( 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0-2 @ 6.35% ( 1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0-3 @ 2.48% ( 2-3 @ 1.82% ( Other @ 3.07% Total : 35.22% |