Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
37.02% (![]() | 27.76% (![]() | 35.22% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.5% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.63% (![]() | 57.37% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.81% (![]() | 78.19% (![]() |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.21% (![]() | 29.79% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.13% (![]() | 65.87% (![]() |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.08% (![]() | 30.92% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.79% (![]() | 67.21% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 11.15% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.93% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.75% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.2% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.88% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.41% Total : 37.02% | 1-1 @ 13.09% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.21% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.65% ( ![]() Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.76% | 0-1 @ 10.81% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.68% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.35% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.01% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.82% ( ![]() Other @ 3.07% Total : 35.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 50 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 15 | 23 | 49 |
3 | Barcelona | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 64 | 25 | 39 | 48 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 44 |
5 | Villarreal | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 40 |
6 | Rayo Vallecano | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 35 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 31 |
8 | GironaGirona | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 31 |
9 | Osasuna | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 30 |
10 | Mallorca | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 30 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 29 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 28 |
13 | Sevilla | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 28 |
14 | Getafe | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 27 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 23 |
16 | Espanyol | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 23 |
17 | Leganes | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 23 |
18 | Valencia | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 22 |
19 | AlavesAlaves | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 21 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 48 | -33 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |