MX23RW : Thursday, February 13 13:01:36| >> :120:77736:77736:
Athletic Bilbao logo
Copa del Rey | Round of 16
Jan 16, 2025 at 6.30pm UK
San Mames Barria
Osauna logo

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 3
Osasuna

Williams (45+3'), de Marcos (55')
Jauregizar (84')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Oroz (41'), Budimir (44' pen., 70')
Moncayola (45+3'), Catena (49'), Areso (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa del Rey clash between Athletic Bilbao and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-2 Barcelona
Wednesday, January 8 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana
Last Game: Atletico 1-0 Osasuna
Sunday, January 12 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Osasuna

San Mames is widely regarded as one of the toughest grounds in Spain for teams to visit, and we think that Athletic will make full use of home advantage at their Cathedral to get the better of an Osasuna side that have failed to win their four away games against top-flight opposition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawOsasuna
55.13% (0.142 0.14) 24.27% (-0.038 -0.04) 20.6% (-0.103 -0.1)
Both teams to score 48.76% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.87% (0.027000000000001 0.03)52.13% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.16% (0.024000000000001 0.02)73.84% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.19% (0.064999999999998 0.06)18.8% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.77% (0.109 0.11)50.23% (-0.108 -0.11)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.05% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)39.94% (0.095000000000006 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.4% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)76.6% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 55.12%
    Osasuna 20.6%
    Draw 24.27%
Athletic BilbaoDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 12.55% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.48% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 5.84% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46%
4-0 @ 2.44% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 55.12%
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 24.27%
0-1 @ 6.89% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.29% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.16% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 20.6%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna

Athletic Bilbao
92.5%
Osasuna
7.5%
107
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Osasuna
1-2
Athletic Bilbao
Torro (25')
Guruzeta (31'), Berenguer (74')
Guruzeta (87')
Aug 3, 2024 7.30pm
Club Friendlies 3
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Osasuna
Djalo (19'), Williams (65')
Berchiche (57')
Garcia (26')
Pena (57')
May 11, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 35
Athletic Bilbao
2-2
Osasuna
Williams (58'), Villalibre (90+6')
Berchiche (22'), Herrera (45+2')
Garcia (40'), Garcia (47')
Herrando (34'), Ibanez (55'), Catena (73'), Garcia (90+2')
Aug 19, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Osasuna
0-2
Athletic Bilbao

Garcia (59')
Avila (90+4')
Williams (11'), Guruzeta (20')
Lekue (38'), Sancet (47'), Ruiz de Galarreta (71'), Simon (90+4')
Sancet (59')
May 25, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 36
Osasuna
2-0
Athletic Bilbao
Budimir (50'), Torro (77')
Torro (31'), Budimir (66'), Ibanez (84')

de Marcos (15'), Berenguer (74'), Vivian (76')
rhs 2.0
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