Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Osasuna
55.13% ( 0.14)	24.27% ( -0.04)	20.6% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 48.76% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.87% (

0.03)

52.13% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.16% (

0.02)

73.84% (

-0.02)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.19% (

0.06)

18.8% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.77% (

0.11)

50.23% (

-0.11)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.05% (

-0.09)

39.94% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.4% (

-0.09)

76.6% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 55.12%

Osasuna 20.6%

Draw 24.27%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Osasuna
1-0 @ 12.55% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 55.12%	1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 24.27%	0-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.32% Total : 20.6%