La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 18

Dec 21, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna
1 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Torro (25')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Guruzeta (31'), Berenguer (74')
Guruzeta (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Espanyol 0-0 Osasuna
Saturday, December 14 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Alaves 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, December 15 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 44.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 27.78%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.73%) and 1-2 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
27.78% ( -0.51)	27.93% ( -0.26)	44.29% ( 0.77)

Both teams to score 45.57% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.11% (

0.65)

59.88% (

-0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.85% (

0.49)

80.15% (

-0.49)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.36% (

-0.06)

37.64% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.58% (

-0.06)

74.42% (

0.06)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.08% (

0.71)

26.92% (

-0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.75% (

0.93)

62.24% (

-0.92)

Score Analysis

Osasuna 27.78%

Athletic Bilbao 44.28%

Draw 27.93%

Osasuna	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.69% Total : 27.78%	1-1 @ 12.99% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 10.13% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.93%	0-1 @ 13.29% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 8.73% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.89% Total : 44.28%