Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (11.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.