Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 4, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Municipal Las Gaunas
Athletic Bilbao logo

UD Logrones
0 - 0
Athletic Bilbao


Bonilla Martinez (39'), Cruz Aguero Nunez (90')
FT
(aet)

Nunez (28'), Valverde (29'), Herrera (53'), Boiro Boiro (89'), Williams (90+5'), Jauregizar (102')
Athletic Bilbao win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Copa del Rey clash between UD Logrones and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

UD Logrones

All competitions
Last Game: UD Logrones 0-0 Girona (4-3 pen.)
Wednesday, December 4 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last Game: Osasuna 1-2 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, December 21 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 51.26%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for UD Logrones had a probability of 20.76%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.16%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a UD Logrones win it was 1-0 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
UD LogronesDrawAthletic Bilbao
20.76% (0.315 0.32)27.98% (0.319 0.32)51.26% (-0.634 -0.63)
Both teams to score 39.47% (-0.366 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.55% (-0.678 -0.68)64.45% (0.68099999999999 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.49% (-0.482 -0.48)83.51% (0.482 0.48)
UD Logrones Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.05% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)46.95% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.55% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)82.45% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.41% (-0.605 -0.61)25.59% (0.607 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.53% (-0.833 -0.83)60.47% (0.834 0.83)
Score Analysis
    UD Logrones 20.76%
    Athletic Bilbao 51.25%
    Draw 27.97%
UD LogronesDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 9.09% (0.212 0.21)
2-1 @ 4.68% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.43% (0.074 0.07)
3-1 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 20.76%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 12.01% (0.3 0.3)
2-2 @ 3.19% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 27.97%
0-1 @ 16.37% (0.12 0.12)
0-2 @ 11.16% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 8.44% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-3 @ 5.07% (-0.139 -0.14)
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.73% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 51.25%

How you voted: UD Logrones vs Athletic Bilbao

UD Logrones
10.7%
Draw
10.7%
Athletic Bilbao
78.6%
28