Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest PAOK win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.