Europa League
Jan 30, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Reale Arena
  • Alvaro Odriozola 39' yellowcard
  • Orri Oskarsson 43' goal
  • Orri Oskarsson 48' goal
  • Jon Ander Olasagasti 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Magomed Ozdoyev 6'
  • yellowcard Brandon 49'

Real Sociedad vs PAOK - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Sociedad

All competitions
Last game
Jan 23, 2025 8.00pm
Lazio 3 - 1 Real Sociedad

PAOK

All competitions
Last game
Jan 23, 2025 8.00pm
PAOK 2 - 0 Slavia Prague

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest PAOK win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result

Real Sociedad 44.98% (-0.01)
Draw 26.01% (+0.01)
PAOK 29% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.85% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.82% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 52.18% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 26.11% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 73.89% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 12.07% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 87.93% (+0.01)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 76.87% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 23.13% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 43.01% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 56.99% (+0.02)

PAOK Goals

Over 0.5 67.45% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 32.55% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 30.91% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 69.09% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Real Sociedad 44.98%
Draw 26.01%
PAOK 29.01%
Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 11.02% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.07% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.42% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.94%
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 44.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.37% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.53% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 26.01%
PAOK
0-1 @ 8.45% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.94%
0-2 @ 4.74% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 29.01%