Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Ferencvaros win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.