Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 61.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Panserraikos had a probability of 15.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.47%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Panserraikos win it was 1-0 (6%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.