Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 64.47%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Panserraikos had a probability of 14.74%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.91%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Panserraikos win it was 1-0 (5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.