Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 57.13%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 18.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
Real Sociedad	Draw	Osasuna
57.13% ( -0.23)	23.96% ( -0.04)	18.91% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 47.12% (

0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.04% (

0.48)

52.96% (

-0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.44% (

0.41)

74.56% (

-0.41)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.64% (

0.09)

18.36% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.52% (

0.16)

49.48% (

-0.16)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.71% (

0.59)

42.28% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.32% (

0.5)

78.68% (

-0.5)

Score Analysis

Real Sociedad 57.12%

Osasuna 18.91%

Draw 23.95%

Real Sociedad	Draw	Osasuna
1-0 @ 13.15% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 57.12%	1-1 @ 11.32% 0-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.74% Total : 23.95%	0-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.89% Total : 18.91%