Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 64.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 13.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.01%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Leganes |
| 64.55% ( | 21.59% ( | 13.87% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.73% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.1% ( | 51.9% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.35% ( | 73.65% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.59% ( | 15.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.77% ( | 44.23% ( |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.7% ( | 48.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.55% ( | 83.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Leganes |
| 1-0 @ 13.92% ( 2-0 @ 13.01% ( 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 3-0 @ 8.12% ( 3-1 @ 5.91% ( 4-0 @ 3.79% ( 4-1 @ 2.76% ( 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 5-0 @ 1.42% ( 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 4-2 @ 1% ( Other @ 1.96% Total : 64.54% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 2-2 @ 3.45% ( Other @ 0.57% Total : 21.59% | 0-1 @ 5.42% ( 1-2 @ 3.69% ( 0-2 @ 1.97% ( Other @ 2.8% Total : 13.87% |