Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 64.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 13.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.01%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.