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La Liga
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La Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 9, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Leganes logo

Valencia
2 - 0
Leganes

Mosquera (30'), Diakhaby (41')
Barrenechea (25')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Neyou (23'), (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Leganes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 0-5 Barcelona
Thursday, February 6 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

Leganes

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Leganes 2-3 Real Madrid
Wednesday, February 5 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Valencia 1-1 Leganes

 Four of the last five La Liga meetings between these two sides have finished level, including three 1-1 draws, and we are predicting that scoreline here. Valencia have home advantage, but Leganes have proven to be very difficult to beat on their travels this season, and we are expecting them to be good enough to avoid defeat at Mestalla. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Leganes win was 0-1 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
ValenciaDrawLeganes
38.95% (0.398 0.4) 28.05% (0.36 0.36) 33% (-0.759 -0.76)
Both teams to score 47.34% (-1.209 -1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.32% (-1.443 -1.44)58.68% (1.442 1.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.78% (-1.136 -1.14)79.22% (1.135 1.14)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.71% (-0.46900000000001 -0.47)29.29% (0.467 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.75% (-0.58000000000001 -0.58)65.25% (0.578 0.58)
Leganes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.94% (-1.258 -1.26)33.06% (1.257 1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.35% (-1.417 -1.42)69.65% (1.415 1.42)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 38.94%
    Leganes 33%
    Draw 28.05%
ValenciaDrawLeganes
1-0 @ 11.88% (0.48 0.48)
2-1 @ 8.08% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.3% (0.207 0.21)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.99% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 38.94%
1-1 @ 13.16% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 9.68% (0.517 0.52)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.183 -0.18)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.05%
0-1 @ 10.71% (0.22 0.22)
1-2 @ 7.28% (-0.199 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.93% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.128 -0.13)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 33%

How you voted: Valencia vs Leganes

Valencia
49.1%
Draw
29.1%
Leganes
21.8%
55
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 9
Leganes
0-0
Valencia
Rosier (30'), Neyou (49')
Tarrega (32'), Pepelu (67')
> Preview
Jul 12, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 36
Leganes
1-0
Valencia
> Preview
Sep 22, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 5
Valencia
1-1
Leganes
Parejo (21' pen.)
Kondogbia (59'), Torres (85'), Paulista (91')
Oscar (35')
Recio (23'), Siovas (41'), Soriano (87'), Perez (88')
Feb 24, 2019 11am
Gameweek 25
Leganes
1-1
Valencia
Braithwaite (89')
Kravets (21'), Nyom (69'), Bustinza (72'), Perez (84'), En-Nesyri (90')
Kondogbia (22')
Gaya (25'), Neto (68'), Gameiro (90')
Oct 20, 2018 3.15pm
Gameweek 9
Valencia
1-1
Leganes
Gaya (85')
Parejo (90')
Gumbau (63' pen.)
Oscar (33'), Gumbau (48')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona27193575274860
2Real Madrid28186459273260
3Atletico MadridAtletico28168446222456
4Athletic Bilbao281410446242252
5Villarreal27128749381144
6Real BetisBetis2812883835344
7Mallorca28117102834-640
8Celta Vigo28116114141039
9Rayo Vallecano2891093131037
10Getafe2899102523236
11Sevilla2899103237-536
12Real Sociedad28105132530-535
13GironaGirona2897123641-534
14Osasuna2771283339-633
15Espanyol2777132639-1328
16Valencia28610123146-1528
17AlavesAlaves2869133242-1027
18Leganes2869132643-1727
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2867153247-1525
20Real ValladolidValladolid2844201863-4516
> La Liga Full Table


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