La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 9, 2025 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia
2 - 0
Leganes

Mosquera (30'), Diakhaby (41')
Barrenechea (25')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Neyou (23'), (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Leganes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Valencia 0-5 Barcelona
Thursday, February 6 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Leganes

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Leganes 2-3 Real Madrid
Wednesday, February 5 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Leganes win was 0-1 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Leganes
38.95% ( 0.4)	28.05% ( 0.36)	33% ( -0.76)

Both teams to score 47.34% (

-1.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.32% (

-1.44)

58.68% (

1.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.78% (

-1.14)

79.22% (

1.14)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.71% (

-0.47)

29.29% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.75% (

-0.58)

65.25% (

0.58)

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.94% (

-1.26)

33.06% (

1.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.35% (

-1.42)

69.65% (

1.42)

Score Analysis

Valencia 38.94%

Leganes 33%

Draw 28.05%

Valencia	Draw	Leganes
1-0 @ 11.88% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.61% Total : 38.94%	1-1 @ 13.16% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.52) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.05%	0-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.55% Total : 33%