Copa del Rey | Quarter-Finals

Feb 6, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia
0 - 5
Barcelona

Perez (45+1'), Sadiq (45+1')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Torres (3', 17', 30'), Lopez (23'), Yamal (59')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Valencia 2-1 Celta Vigo
Sunday, February 2 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Barcelona

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Alaves
Sunday, February 2 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 55.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 21.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Barcelona
21.39% ( -0.69)	22.86% ( -0.49)	55.75% ( 1.18)

Both teams to score 54.27% (

0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.63% (

1.29)

45.37% (

-1.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.29% (

1.22)

67.71% (

-1.22)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.69% (

0.06)

35.31% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.93% (

0.07)

72.07% (

-0.07)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.89% (

0.88)

16.11% (

-0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.47% (

1.58)

45.53% (

-1.58)

Score Analysis

Valencia 21.39%

Barcelona 55.74%

Draw 22.86%

Valencia	Draw	Barcelona
1-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.95% Total : 21.39%	1-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.86%	0-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 9.48% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 6.01% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 5.77% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 2.74% ( 0.17) 0-4 @ 2.63% ( 0.16) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.09) 1-5 @ 1% ( 0.09) 0-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.35% Total : 55.74%