La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 22

Feb 2, 2025 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia
2 - 1
Celta Vigo

Rioja (44'), Guerra (68')
Barrenechea (67')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Duran Fernandez (65')
Moriba (67'), Starfelt (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Barcelona 7-1 Valencia
Sunday, January 26 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Celta Vigo

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Alaves 1-1 Celta Vigo
Monday, January 27 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Valencia in this match.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Celta Vigo
34.52% ( -1.02)	26.34% ( -0.4)	39.13% ( 1.42)

Both teams to score 52.89% (

1.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.2% (

1.53)

51.79% (

-1.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.44% (

1.31)

73.56% (

-1.32)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.4% (

0.11)

28.6% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.6% (

0.14)

64.4% (

-0.15)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.07% (

1.5)

25.92% (

-1.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.08% (

1.99)

60.92% (

-2)

Score Analysis

Valencia 34.52%

Celta Vigo 39.12%

Draw 26.33%

Valencia	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.55) 2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 34.52%	1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33%	0-1 @ 10% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.26) 0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.14) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.37% Total : 39.12%