La Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 2, 2025 3.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Luis Rioja 44' goal
  • Enzo Barrenechea 67' yellowcard
  • Javi Guerra 68' goal
  • goal Pablo Duran Fernandez 65'
  • yellowcard Ilaix Moriba 67'
  • yellowcard Carl Starfelt 83'

Valencia vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions
Last game
Jan 26, 2025 8.00pm
Barcelona 7 - 1 Valencia
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Hugo Duro

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
Jan 27, 2025 8.00pm
Alaves 1 - 1 Celta Vigo
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Borja Iglesias

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Valencia in this match.

Result

Valencia 34.52% (-1.03)
Draw 26.34% (-0.40)
Celta Vigo 39.13% (+1.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.89% (+1.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.2% (+1.54)
Under 2.5 51.79% (-1.54)
Over 3.5 26.44% (+1.31)
Under 3.5 73.56% (-1.32)
Over 4.5 12.28% (+0.84)
Under 4.5 87.71% (-0.85)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5 71.4% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 28.6% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 35.6% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 64.4% (-0.15)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 74.07% (+1.51)
Under 0.5 25.92% (-1.51)
Over 1.5 39.08% (+2.00)
Under 1.5 60.92% (-2.00)

Score analysis

Valencia 34.52%
Draw 26.33%
Celta Vigo 39.12%
Valencia
1-0 @ 9.28% (-0.55)
2-1 @ 7.84% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 5.81% (-0.33)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.42% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.21% (+0.08)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 34.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.20)
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.47)
2-2 @ 5.29% (+0.17)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 26.33%
Celta Vigo
0-1 @ 10% (-0.18)
1-2 @ 8.46% (+0.24)
0-2 @ 6.76% (+0.17)
1-3 @ 3.81% (+0.27)
0-3 @ 3.04% (+0.20)
2-3 @ 2.38% (+0.18)
1-4 @ 1.29% (+0.14)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-90.88)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 39.12%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 23, 2024 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio de Balaidos
  • Oscar Mingueza 22' goal
  • Oscar Mingueza 25' yellowcard
  • Iago Aspas 27' goal
  • Fran Beltran 60' goal
  • Damian Rodriguez 78' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Bamba 87' yellowcard
  • goal Diego Lopez 15'
La Liga Gameweek 38
May 26, 2024 3.15pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Balaidos
  • Iago Aspas 49' goal
  • Anastasios Douvikas 62' goal
  • goal Carlos Dominguez 5' (OG)
  • goal Alberto Mari 60'
Copa del Rey
Jan 17, 2024 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Pepelu 29' goal
  • Yarek Gasiorowski 86' yellowcard
  • goal Luca de la Torre 13'
  • goal Anastasios Douvikas 18'
  • yellowcard Kevin Vazquez 48'
  • yellowcard Williot Swedberg 68'
  • goal Anastasios Douvikas 80'
La Liga Gameweek 14
Nov 25, 2023 3.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Selim Amallah 77' yellowcard
  • Pepelu 87' yellowcard
  • Hugo Guillamon 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Franco Cervi 71'
  • yellowcard Unai Nunez 79'
La Liga Gameweek 34
May 14, 2023 1.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Balaídos
  • Haris Seferovic 60' goal
  • goal Justin Kluivert 8'
  • goal Alberto Mari 88'
La Liga Gameweek 6
Sep 17, 2022 5.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Samu Castillejo 37' goal
  • Maranhao 82' goal
  • Andre Almeida 90'+3' goal