Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Valencia in this match.