La Liga Gameweek 21
Alaves
Jan 27, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
Celta Vigo
  • Kike 6' goal
  • Abdel Abqar 78' yellowcard
  • Kike 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcos Alonso 34'
  • yellowcard Mihailo Ristic 64'
  • goal Pablo Duran Fernandez 66'
  • yellowcard Hugo Alvarez 81'

Alaves vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions
Last game
Jan 18, 2025 5.30pm
Betis 1 - 3 Alaves
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Kike

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
Jan 19, 2025 1.00pm
Celta Vigo 1 - 2 Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Borja Iglesias

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Alaves 34.64% ▼ (-1.05)
Draw 27.58% ▲ (+0.09)
Celta Vigo 37.78% ▲ (+0.97)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.99% ▼ (-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.26% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 2.5 56.74% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 3.5 22.31% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 3.5 77.69% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 4.5 9.7% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 4.5 90.3% ▲ (+0.19)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5 69.03% ▼ (-0.86)
Under 0.5 30.97% ▲ (+0.86)
Over 1.5 32.73% ▼ (-1.02)
Under 1.5 67.28% ▲ (+1.02)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 70.97% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 0.5 29.03% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 1.5 35.07% ▲ (+0.49)
Under 1.5 64.93% ▼ (-0.49)

Score analysis

Alaves 34.63%
Draw 27.58%
Celta Vigo 37.78%
Alaves
1-0 @ 10.53% ▼ (-0.11)
2-1 @ 7.64% ▼ (-0.17)
2-0 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.21)
3-1 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.14)
3-0 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 34.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.03% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.99% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.58%
Celta Vigo
0-1 @ 11.12% ▲ (+0.28)
1-2 @ 8.06% ▲ (+0.11)
0-2 @ 6.88% ▲ (+0.25)
1-3 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.14)
2-3 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.03% ▼ (-98.18)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 37.78%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 1
Celta Vigo
Aug 16, 2024 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Balaidos
Alaves
  • Iago Aspas 9' yellowcard
  • Claudio Giraldez Gonzalez 61' yellowcard
  • Williot Swedberg 66' goal
  • Iago Aspas 84' goal
  • Damian Rodriguez 87' yellowcard
  • goal Kike 17'
  • yellowcard Tomas Conechny 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Damian Rodriguez 90'+5'
La Liga Gameweek 33
Alaves
Apr 27, 2024 5.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
Celta Vigo
  • Ruben Duarte 19' yellowcard
  • Antonio Blanco 22' yellowcard
  • Giuliano Simeone 48' goal
  • Jon Guridi 54' goal
  • Antonio Sivera 78' yellowcard
  • Carlos Benavidez 86' goal
  • yellowcard Carles Perez 21'
  • yellowcard Oscar Mingueza 85'
  • yellowcard Hugo Alvarez 88'
La Liga Gameweek 7
Celta Vigo
Sep 28, 2023 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Balaidos
Alaves
  • Luca de la Torre 15' yellowcard
  • Rafa Marin 35' goal
  • Iago Aspas 52' yellowcard
  • Fran Beltran 52' yellowcard
  • Luca de la Torre 68' redcard
  • Jorgen Strand Larsen 69' yellowcard
  • Carles Perez 75' yellowcard
  • goal Samu Omorodion 73'
  • yellowcard Javi Lopez 78'
  • yellowcard Rafa Marin 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Luis Rioja 90'+5'
La Liga Gameweek 35
Celta Vigo
May 7, 2022 5.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Alaves
  • Thiago Galhardo 6' goal
  • Iago Aspas 34' goal
  • Franco Cervi 42' yellowcard
  • Ximo Navarro 57' goal
  • Iago Aspas 66' goal
  • yellowcard Mamadou N'Diaye 24'
  • yellowcard Tomas Pina 38'
  • yellowcard Edgar Mendez 53'
  • redcard Ximo Navarro 64'
La Liga Gameweek 15
Alaves
Nov 27, 2021 1.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Celta Vigo
  • Joselu 21' goal
  • Ruben Duarte 32' yellowcard
  • Florian Lejeune 38' yellowcard
  • Martin Aguirregabiria 57' yellowcard
  • goal Santi Mina 11'
  • yellowcard Brais Mendez 50'
  • goal Iago Aspas 70'
  • yellowcard Renato Tapia 85'
La Liga Gameweek 29
Alaves
Apr 4, 2021 1.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT
Celta Vigo
  • Victor Laguardia 20' yellowcard
  • Florian Lejeune 52' yellowcard
  • Ximo Navarro 65' yellowcard
  • Edgar Mendez 85' yellowcard
  • Florian Lejeune 86' goal
  • yellowcard Jeison Murillo 2'
  • goal Nolito 8'
  • goal Iago Aspas 14'
  • goal Santi Mina 20'
  • yellowcard Joseph Aidoo 24'
  • redcard Jeison Murillo 54'
  • yellowcard Kevin Vazquez 86'
  • yellowcard Hugo Mallo 90'+3'

Form Data

Betis 1 - 3 Alaves
Alaves 0 - 1 Girona
Valencia 2 - 2 Alaves
Alaves 1 - 1 Athletic Bilbao
Osasuna 2 - 2 Alaves
Deportiva Minera 2 - 2 Alaves
Celta Vigo 1 - 2 Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid 5 - 2 Celta Vigo
Rayo Vallecano 2 - 1 Celta Vigo
Racing 2 - 3 Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo 2 - 0 Real Sociedad
Sevilla 1 - 0 Celta Vigo