La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 21

Jan 27, 2025 at 8pm UK

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves
1 - 1
Celta Vigo

Kike (6' pen.)
Abqar (78'), Kike (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Duran Fernandez (66')
Alonso (34'), Ristic (64'), Alvarez (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Betis 1-3 Alaves
Saturday, January 18 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Celta Vigo

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-2 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, January 19 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Celta Vigo
34.64% ( -1.05)	27.58% ( 0.08)	37.78% ( 0.97)

Both teams to score 48.99% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.26% (

-0.38)

56.74% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.31% (

-0.3)

77.69% (

0.31)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.03% (

-0.86)

30.97% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.73% (

-1.01)

67.28% (

1.02)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.97% (

0.4)

29.03% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.07% (

0.49)

64.93% (

-0.49)

Score Analysis

Alaves 34.63%

Celta Vigo 37.78%

Draw 27.58%

Alaves	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.04% Total : 34.63%	1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.58%	0-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.58% Total : 37.78%