We said: Real Betis 2-1 Alaves
The last three La Liga matches between these two sides have finished level, including goalless draws in their last two outings; we are expecting this to be close in terms of the scoreline, but Real Betis' strong home record, coupled with Alaves' struggles on their travels, should mean that Pellegrini's side pick up all three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 53.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.