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La Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 19, 2025 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Athletic Bilbao logo

Celta Vigo
1 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Alvarez (74')
Moriba (60')
Mingueza (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Berenguer (62'), Vivian (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 5-2 Celta Vigo
Thursday, January 16 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-3 Osasuna
Thursday, January 16 at 6.30pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

Athletic will enter this match off the back of two disappointing results in the cup, but their league form is excellent, and we are struggling to back them to lose here; Celta, though, have been strong at home this term, and we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw here despite being close to backing an away success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.88%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.61%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-0 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawAthletic Bilbao
28.3% (0.123 0.12) 28.82% (0.053999999999998 0.05) 42.88% (-0.183 -0.18)
Both teams to score 43.54% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.42% (-0.131 -0.13)62.58% (0.123 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.84% (-0.096 -0.1)82.16% (0.088000000000008 0.09)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.29% (0.027999999999999 0.03)38.71% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.55% (0.027999999999999 0.03)75.44% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (-0.164 -0.16)28.95% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15% (-0.202 -0.2)64.84% (0.196 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 28.29%
    Athletic Bilbao 42.88%
    Draw 28.8%
Celta VigoDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.63% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 6.26% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.05% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.98% (0.006 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.6% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 28.29%
1-1 @ 13.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.2% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.88% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.8%
0-1 @ 13.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.61% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.56% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 42.88%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao

Celta Vigo
22.6%
Draw
17.9%
Athletic Bilbao
59.5%
84
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 6
Athletic Bilbao
3-1
Celta Vigo
Guruzeta (4', 39'), Djalo (80')
Berenguer (20'), Paredes (30'), Prados (52')
Aspas (25' pen.)
Sotelo (50'), Moriba (86')
May 15, 2024 9pm
Gameweek 36
Celta Vigo
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Swedberg (68'), Alvarez (71')
Starfelt (80'), Cervi (90+5')
Berenguer (23')
Nov 10, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Athletic Bilbao
4-3
Celta Vigo
Sancet (37'), Guruzeta (45+5', 52'), Berenguer (90+8' pen.)
Simon (56'), Garcia (90+2')
Aspas (25'), Bamba (41'), Strand Larsen (66')
Aspas (39'), Guaita (90+5')
May 20, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 35
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Celta Vigo
Williams (5'), Berenguer (54')
Paredes (34'), Williams (39'), Garcia (82'), Garcia (90')
Jan 29, 2023 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid23155351222950
2Atletico MadridAtletico23147238152349
3Barcelona23153564253948
4Athletic Bilbao23128336201644
5Villarreal23117546341240
6Rayo Vallecano239862724335
7Real Sociedad2394102020031
8GironaGirona2394103133-231
9Osasuna227962731-430
10Mallorca2293101928-930
11Real BetisBetis237882731-429
12Celta Vigo2384113437-328
13Sevilla237792534-928
14Getafe236981817127
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2365122838-1023
16Espanyol2365122235-1323
17Leganes2358101932-1323
18Valencia2357112437-1322
19AlavesAlaves2356122535-1021
20Real ValladolidValladolid2343161548-3315


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