La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 20

Jan 19, 2025 at 1pm UK

Estadio de Balaidos

Celta Vigo
1 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Alvarez (74')
Moriba (60')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Berenguer (62'), Vivian (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 5-2 Celta Vigo
Thursday, January 16 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-3 Osasuna
Thursday, January 16 at 6.30pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.88%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.61%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-0 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Celta Vigo	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
28.3% ( 0.12)	28.82% ( 0.05)	42.88% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 43.54% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.42% (

-0.13)

62.58% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.84% (

-0.1)

82.16% (

0.09)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.29% (

0.03)

38.71% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.55% (

0.03)

75.44% (

-0.03)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.04% (

-0.16)

28.95% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.15% (

-0.2)

64.84% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Celta Vigo 28.29%

Athletic Bilbao 42.88%

Draw 28.8%

Celta Vigo	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 1.55% Total : 28.29%	1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.8%	0-1 @ 13.89% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.53% Total : 42.88%