Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 56.12%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 22.16% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.