Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 62.63%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 16.94%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Sturm Graz win it was 1-2 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Sturm Graz
62.63% ( 0.01)	20.43% ( -0.01)	16.94% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 54.51% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.79% (

41.21% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.39% (

0.01)

63.6% (

-0.01)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.41% (

12.58% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.33% (

0.01)

38.67% (

-0.02)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.36% (

-0.01)

37.64% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.58% (

-0.01)

74.42% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 62.62%

Sturm Graz 16.94%

Draw 20.43%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Sturm Graz
2-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 9.94% 1-0 @ 9.82% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.03% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.87% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.64% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.56% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.36% 4-2 @ 1.74% 5-0 @ 1.51% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0) Other @ 3.51% Total : 62.62%	1-1 @ 9.59% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.43%	1-2 @ 4.69% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.63% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.26% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 16.94%