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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Jan 25, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Atalanta logo

Como
1 - 2
Atalanta

Paz (30')
Jack Ozilio Moreira Pacheco (66'), Cutrone (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Retegui (56', 70')
Lookman (51'), Brescianini (88'), Samardzic (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Como and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Como 4-1 Udinese
Monday, January 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 5-0 Sturm Graz
Tuesday, January 21 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: Como 1-1 Atalanta BC

Atalanta may have to wait longer for their first Serie A win of the year, as Como can boast a fine recent record on home soil, where they have beaten Roma and Udinese. With half an eye on their Champions League fate, the visitors may be below their brilliant best, dropping more points and further denting their title chances. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 50.75%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Como had a probability of 23.82%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.58%) and 1-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Como win it was 1-0 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
ComoDrawAtalanta BC
23.82% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 25.43% (0.0030000000000001 0) 50.75% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 49.36% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.63% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)53.37% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.09% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)74.91% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.52% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)37.48% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.74% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)74.26% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.95% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)21.05% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.15% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)53.85% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Como 23.82%
    Atalanta BC 50.74%
    Draw 25.43%
ComoDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 7.74% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 5.92% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 3.8%
3-1 @ 1.94% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 23.82%
1-1 @ 12.06%
0-0 @ 7.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 12.29%
0-2 @ 9.58% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 9.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 4.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 4.88% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.94% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 50.74%

How you voted: Como vs Atalanta

Como
15.8%
Draw
21.1%
Atalanta BC
63.2%
76
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Atalanta
2-3
Como
Zappacosta (18'), Lookman (90+9' pen.)
de Roon (83')
Espeto (46'), Kolasinac (54' og.), Fadera (58')
Roberto (11'), Moreno (36'), Van Der Brempt (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli25175341192256
2Inter Milan25166358243454
3Atalanta BCAtalanta25156454262851
4Juventus251113142212146
5Lazio25144747341346
6Fiorentina25126741271442
7AC Milan24118536241241
8Bologna24101133829941
9Roma2510783629737
10Udinese2596103237-533
11Torino2561092731-428
12Genoa246992233-1127
13Como2567123040-1025
14CagliariCagliari2567122639-1325
15Lecce2567121841-2325
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2572162654-2823
17Empoli2549122238-1621
18Parma2548133045-1520
19VeneziaVenezia2437142239-1716
20Monza2528152139-1814


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