Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 22

Jan 25, 2025 at 2pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Como
1 - 2
Atalanta

Paz (30')
Jack Ozilio Moreira Pacheco (66'), Cutrone (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Retegui (56', 70')
Lookman (51'), Brescianini (88'), Samardzic (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Como and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Como

All competitions

Last Game: Como 4-1 Udinese
Monday, January 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atalanta 5-0 Sturm Graz
Tuesday, January 21 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 50.75%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Como had a probability of 23.82%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.58%) and 1-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Como win it was 1-0 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Como	Draw	Atalanta BC
23.82% ( -0)	25.43% ( 0)	50.75% ( 0)

Both teams to score 49.36% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.63% (

-0.01)

53.37% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.09% (

-0.01)

74.91% (

0.01)

Como Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.52% (

-0.01)

37.48% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.74% (

-0.01)

74.26% (

0.01)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.95% (

-0)

21.05% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.15% (

-0)

53.85% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Como 23.82%

Atalanta BC 50.74%

Draw 25.43%

Como	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 7.74% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.92% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.8% 3-1 @ 1.94% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.67% Total : 23.82%	1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 7.89% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.43%	0-1 @ 12.29% 0-2 @ 9.58% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.98% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.88% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.94% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 50.74%