Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 50.75%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Como had a probability of 23.82%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.58%) and 1-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Como win it was 1-0 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.