La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 22

Feb 2, 2025 at 1pm UK

Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys

Barcelona
1 - 0
Alaves

Lewandowski (62')
Gavi (7'), Araujo (34'), Raphinha (68'), Lopez (90'), Yamal (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tenaglia (57'), Benavidez (66')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Barcelona 2-2 Atalanta
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Alaves

All competitions

Last Game: Alaves 1-1 Celta Vigo
Monday, January 27 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 76.26%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 9.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.71%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-2 (2.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Alaves
76.26% ( 0.5)	14.51% ( -0.22)	9.22% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 52.55% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.89% (

0.14)

32.11% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.3% (

0.16)

53.7% (

-0.16)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.05% (

0.13)

6.95% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.52% (

0.34)

25.48% (

-0.34)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.48% (

-0.48)

43.52% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.27% (

-0.41)

79.73% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Barcelona 76.26%

Alaves 9.22%

Draw 14.51%

Barcelona	Draw	Alaves
2-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.06% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.95% ( 0) 4-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.05) 6-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 3.64% Total : 76.26%	1-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 14.51%	1-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.84% Total : 9.22%