La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 22

Jan 31, 2025 at 8pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Leganes
0 - 1
Rayo Vallecano

Raba (34'), Neyou (63')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ciss (78')
Nteka (54'), Ratiu (55'), Lopez (75'), Embarba (89'), Perez (90+16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Leganes and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leganes

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-0 Leganes
Sunday, January 26 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Girona
Sunday, January 26 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 47.09%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 1-2 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Leganes win it was 1-0 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rayo Vallecano in this match.

Result
Leganes	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
25.5% ( -0.22)	27.41% ( -0.04)	47.09% ( 0.26)

Both teams to score 45.39% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.69% (

0.01)

59.32% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.29% (

0.01)

79.71% (

-0)

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.72% (

-0.19)

39.28% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.02% (

-0.18)

75.98% (

0.18)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.75% (

0.13)

25.25% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40% (

0.18)

60% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Leganes 25.5%

Rayo Vallecano 47.09%

Draw 27.4%

Leganes	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.46% Total : 25.5%	1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.92% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.4%	0-1 @ 13.65% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 9.4% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 47.09%