Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Girona had a probability of 36.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Girona |
36.83% (![]() | 26.91% (![]() | 36.26% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.21% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.99% (![]() | 54% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.56% (![]() | 75.44% (![]() |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.73% (![]() | 28.27% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.01% (![]() | 63.98% (![]() |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.39% (![]() | 28.61% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.58% (![]() | 64.41% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Girona |
1-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 8.08% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.46% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.4% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.75% Total : 36.82% | 1-1 @ 12.78% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.09% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.05% ( ![]() Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.9% | 0-1 @ 10.12% (![]() 1-2 @ 8% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.33% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.34% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 2.67% Total : 36.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 50 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 15 | 23 | 49 |
3 | Barcelona | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 64 | 25 | 39 | 48 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 44 |
5 | Villarreal | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 40 |
6 | Rayo Vallecano | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 35 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 31 |
8 | GironaGirona | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 31 |
9 | Osasuna | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 31 |
10 | Mallorca | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 31 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 29 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 28 |
13 | Sevilla | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 28 |
14 | Getafe | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 27 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 23 |
16 | Espanyol | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 23 |
17 | Leganes | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 23 |
18 | Valencia | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 22 |
19 | AlavesAlaves | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 21 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 48 | -33 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |