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Celta Vigo logo
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Girona logo
Las Palmas
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Rayo Vallecano logo
La Liga | Gameweek 21
Jan 26, 2025 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Girona logo

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
Girona

Nteka (80', 83')
Lopez (21'), Lejeune (90+7'), Nteka (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gil (58')
Herrera (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, January 19 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Girona
Wednesday, January 22 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Girona

Rayo have shared the points on three occasions at home this season, while Girona have three away draws to their name, and we are predicting another stalemate here; Rayo will certainly be the fresher of the two teams, but we are expecting Girona to be good enough to avoid defeat in the capital on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Girona had a probability of 36.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawGirona
36.83% (1.314 1.31) 26.91% (-0.207 -0.21) 36.26% (-1.107 -1.11)
Both teams to score 51.21% (0.694 0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.99% (0.859 0.86)54% (-0.86 -0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.56% (0.716 0.72)75.44% (-0.71599999999999 -0.72)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.73% (1.216 1.22)28.27% (-1.215 -1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.01% (1.512 1.51)63.98% (-1.511 -1.51)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.39% (-0.244 -0.24)28.61% (0.245 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.58% (-0.308 -0.31)64.41% (0.307 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 36.82%
    Girona 36.26%
    Draw 26.9%
Rayo VallecanoDrawGirona
1-0 @ 10.21%
2-1 @ 8.08% (0.219 0.22)
2-0 @ 6.46% (0.218 0.22)
3-1 @ 3.4% (0.203 0.2)
3-0 @ 2.72% (0.179 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.112 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 36.82%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.09% (-0.276 -0.28)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.9%
0-1 @ 10.12% (-0.41 -0.41)
1-2 @ 8% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-2 @ 6.33% (-0.306 -0.31)
1-3 @ 3.34% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 36.26%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Girona

Rayo Vallecano
45.7%
Draw
35.7%
Girona
18.6%
70
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 7
Girona
0-0
Rayo Vallecano
Tsygankov (20'), Ruiz (58'), Herrera (83')
Diaz (45'), Lopez (64'), Balliu (89'), Ratiu (90+3')
Feb 26, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 26
Girona
3-0
Rayo Vallecano
Tsygankov (52'), Savio (90+1', 90+5')
Garcia (54'), Couto (85'), Savio (90+1')

Ciss (65'), Crespo (73'), Chavarria (75'), Perez (81')
Chavarria (76')
Jan 17, 2024 8.30pm
Round of 16
Girona
3-1
Rayo Vallecano
Stuani (15', 19' pen.), Blind (26')
Stuani (45+2')
Nteka (36')
Nteka (45+2')
Nov 11, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 13
Rayo Vallecano
1-2
Girona
Garcia (5')
Garcia (44')
Dovbyk (42'), Savio (65')
Gutierrez (13'), Martin (73')
Mar 18, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 26
Rayo Vallecano
2-2
Girona
Isi (23'), Trejo (34')
Tsygankov (29', 52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid23155351222950
2Atletico MadridAtletico23147238152349
3Barcelona23153564253948
4Athletic Bilbao23128336201644
5Villarreal23117546341240
6Rayo Vallecano239862724335
7Real Sociedad2394102020031
8GironaGirona2394103133-231
9Osasuna2371062832-431
10Mallorca2394102029-931
11Real BetisBetis237882731-429
12Celta Vigo2384113437-328
13Sevilla237792534-928
14Getafe236981817127
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2365122838-1023
16Espanyol2365122235-1323
17Leganes2358101932-1323
18Valencia2357112437-1322
19AlavesAlaves2356122535-1021
20Real ValladolidValladolid2343161548-3315


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