La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 21

Jan 26, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

San Mames Barria

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 0
Leganes

Jauregizar (22')

Altimira (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Leganes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Besiktas 4-1 Athletic Bilbao
Wednesday, January 22 at 3.30pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Leganes

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Leganes 1-0 Atletico
Saturday, January 18 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 51.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 23.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Leganes
51.15% ( 0.09)	25.69% ( -0.04)	23.17% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 47.92% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.1% (

0.1)

54.9% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.81% (

0.08)

76.19% (

-0.08)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.5% (

0.08)

21.5% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.45% (

0.11)

54.55% (

-0.11)

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.05% (

0.01)

38.95% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.32% (

0.01)

75.68% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 51.15%

Leganes 23.17%

Draw 25.68%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Leganes
1-0 @ 12.87% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 51.15%	1-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 25.68%	0-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.72% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 1.47% Total : 23.17%