Europa League
Jan 22, 2025 3.30pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Vodafone Park (Istanbul)
  • Milot Rashica 17' goal
  • Ciro Immobile 37' yellowcard
  • Arthur Masuaku 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Milot Rashica 60' goal
  • Milot Rashica 67' yellowcard
  • Rafa Silva 78' goal
  • Joao Mario 90'+2' goal
  • goal Unai Gomez 45'

Besiktas vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Besiktas

All competitions
Last game
Dec 12, 2024 8.00pm
Bodo/Glimt 2 - 1 Besiktas

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last game
Dec 11, 2024 3.30pm
Fenerbahce 0 - 2 Athletic Bilbao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.

Result

Besiktas 38.27% (-0.33)
Draw 27.22% (+0.14)
Athletic Bilbao 34.51% (+0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.09% (-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.65% (-0.50)
Under 2.5 55.35% (+0.50)
Over 3.5 23.44% (-0.41)
Under 3.5 76.56% (+0.41)
Over 4.5 10.38% (-0.26)
Under 4.5 89.62% (+0.26)

Besiktas Goals

Over 0.5 71.93% (-0.42)
Under 0.5 28.07% (+0.42)
Over 1.5 36.26% (-0.54)
Under 1.5 63.74% (+0.54)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 69.64% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 30.36% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 33.44% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 66.56% (+0.15)

Score analysis

Besiktas 38.26%
Draw 27.22%
Athletic Bilbao 34.51%
Besiktas
1-0 @ 10.82% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 6.88% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 2.91% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 38.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.9% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 8.52% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.22%
Athletic Bilbao
0-1 @ 10.16% (+0.17)
1-2 @ 7.69% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.06% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.41% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 34.51%