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Europa League

Besiktas
Europa League | League Stage
Jan 22, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Vodafone Park (Istanbul)
Athletic Bilbao logo

Besiktas
4 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Rashica (17', 60'), Silva (78'), Mario (90+2' pen.)
Immobile (37'), Masuaku (45+1'), Rashica (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gomez (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Europa League clash between Besiktas and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Besiktas

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Besiktas 0-0 Samsunspor
Saturday, January 18 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-2 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, January 19 at 1pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.

Result
BesiktasDrawAthletic Bilbao
38.27% (-0.32100000000001 -0.32)27.22% (0.132 0.13)34.51% (0.189 0.19)
Both teams to score 50.09% (-0.38 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.65% (-0.494 -0.49)55.35% (0.494 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.44% (-0.404 -0.4)76.56% (0.40600000000001 0.41)
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.93% (-0.416 -0.42)28.07% (0.418 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.26% (-0.534 -0.53)63.74% (0.535 0.53)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.64% (-0.123 -0.12)30.36% (0.126 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.44% (-0.148 -0.15)66.56% (0.14800000000001 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Besiktas 38.26%
    Athletic Bilbao 34.51%
    Draw 27.22%
BesiktasDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.82% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.88% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.91% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 38.26%
1-1 @ 12.9% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.52% (0.162 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.22%
0-1 @ 10.16% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 7.69% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 6.06% (0.074 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.41% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 34.51%

How you voted: Besiktas vs Athletic Bilbao

Besiktas
15.3%
Draw
20.4%
Athletic Bilbao
64.3%
98