Europa League

Europa League | League Stage

Nov 6, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Vodafone Park (Istanbul)

Besiktas
2 - 1
Malmo

Muci (76'), Kilicsoy (85')
Masuaku (45+2'), Paulista (69'), Kilicsoy (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rieks (90+3')
Pena (30'), Jansson (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Europa League clash between Besiktas and Malmo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Besiktas

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Besiktas 1-3 Kasimpasa
Saturday, November 2 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Malmo

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Hammarby 2-2 Malmo
Saturday, November 2 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Malmo win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Besiktas in this match.

Result
Besiktas	Draw	Malmo
43.87% ( 4.35)	23.84% ( -0.36)	32.3% ( -3.99)

Both teams to score 60.86% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.84% (

0.73)

41.16% (

-0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.45% (

0.74)

63.55% (

-0.74)

Besiktas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.96% (

2.27)

19.03% (

-2.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.39% (

3.63)

50.61% (

-3.63)

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.17% (

-1.9)

24.83% (

1.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.58% (

-2.73)

59.42% (

2.72)

Score Analysis

Besiktas 43.87%

Malmo 32.3%

Draw 23.83%

Besiktas	Draw	Malmo
2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.46) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.66) 3-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.58) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.59) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.23) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.36) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.33) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.19) Other @ 3.35% Total : 43.87%	1-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.83%	1-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.58) 0-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.61) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.71) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.49) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.47) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.25) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.67% Total : 32.3%