Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 76.13%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 7.05%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (15.31%) and 0-3 (11.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Leganes win it was 1-0 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Leganes | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
7.05% (![]() | 16.81% (![]() | 76.13% (![]() |
Both teams to score 34.21% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.27% (![]() | 50.73% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.38% (![]() | 72.62% (![]() |
Leganes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
38.69% (![]() | 61.31% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
8.7% (![]() | 91.3% (![]() |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.41% (![]() | 11.59% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.44% (![]() | 36.56% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Leganes | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 3.48% (![]() 2-1 @ 1.83% ( ![]() Other @ 1.75% Total : 7.05% | 1-1 @ 7.49% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.1% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 1.98% ( ![]() Other @ 0.25% Total : 16.82% | 0-2 @ 16.49% (![]() 0-1 @ 15.31% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 11.85% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 8.07% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 6.39% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.8% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.13% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 0-6 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.58% Total : 76.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 50 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 15 | 23 | 49 |
3 | Barcelona | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 64 | 25 | 39 | 48 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 44 |
5 | Villarreal | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 40 |
6 | Rayo Vallecano | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 35 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 31 |
8 | GironaGirona | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 31 |
9 | Osasuna | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 31 |
10 | Mallorca | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 31 |
11 | Getafe | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 30 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 29 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 28 |
14 | Sevilla | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 28 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 23 |
16 | Espanyol | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 23 |
17 | Leganes | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 23 |
18 | Valencia | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 22 |
19 | AlavesAlaves | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 21 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 48 | -33 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |