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La Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 18, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Atletico Madrid logo

Leganes
1 - 0
Atletico

Nastasic (49')
Neyou (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Barrios (43'), Galan (57'), Lenglet (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Leganes and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almeria 2-3 Leganes
Wednesday, January 15 at 6.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Elche 0-4 Atletico
Wednesday, January 15 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Leganes 0-2 Atletico Madrid

Atletico are simply a winning machine at the moment, and we are finding it so difficult to back against them here; this will be the first La Liga meeting between the two teams at the home of Leganes since August 2019 - it was 1-0 to the Red and Whites on that occasion, and we are backing another success for the visitors on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 76.13%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 7.05%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (15.31%) and 0-3 (11.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Leganes win it was 1-0 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
LeganesDrawAtletico Madrid
7.05% (-0.090000000000001 -0.09) 16.81% (-0.162 -0.16) 76.13% (0.254 0.25)
Both teams to score 34.21% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.27% (0.332 0.33)50.73% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.38% (0.294 0.29)72.62% (-0.291 -0.29)
Leganes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
38.69% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)61.31% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.7% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)91.3% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.41% (0.164 0.16)11.59% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.44% (0.35 0.35)36.56% (-0.347 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Leganes 7.05%
    Atletico Madrid 76.12%
    Draw 16.82%
LeganesDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 3.48% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 1.83% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 7.05%
1-1 @ 7.49% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.1% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-2 @ 1.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 16.82%
0-2 @ 16.49% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 15.31% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-3 @ 11.85% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 6.39% (0.081 0.08)
1-3 @ 5.8% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 3.13% (0.035 0.04)
0-5 @ 2.75% (0.053 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.35% (0.023 0.02)
0-6 @ 0.99% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 76.12%

How you voted: Leganes vs Atletico

Leganes
6.0%
Draw
10.4%
Atletico Madrid
83.6%
67
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 10
Atletico
3-1
Leganes
Sorloth (69', 90+9'), Griezmann (81')
Lenglet (30'), Galan (73'), Griezmann (89'), De Paul (90+8'), Simeone (90+2')
Neyou (34')
Cisse (80')
Jan 26, 2020 11am
Gameweek 21
Atletico
0-0
Leganes
Simeone (57'), Savic (96')
Awaziem (11'), Eraso (54'), Cuellar (76'), Mesa (89'), Recio (92')
Cuellar (93')
Aug 25, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 2
Leganes
0-1
Atletico

Eraso (23'), Rosales (34'), Silva (73'), En-Nesyri (90')
Vitolo (71')
Hermoso (52'), Partey (62'), Llorente (80'), Vitolo (86'), Koke (91')
Mar 9, 2019 3.15pm
Gameweek 27
Atletico
1-0
Leganes
Niguez (50')
Gimenez (14'), Lemar (53')

Braithwaite (15'), Perez (65')
Nov 3, 2018 12pm
Gameweek 11
Leganes
1-1
Atletico
Carrillo (82')
En-Nesyri (13'), Silva (53'), Cuellar (85'), Santos (90')
Griezmann (69')
Hernandez (29'), Kalinic (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid23155351222950
2Atletico MadridAtletico23147238152349
3Barcelona23153564253948
4Athletic Bilbao23128336201644
5Villarreal23117546341240
6Rayo Vallecano239862724335
7Real Sociedad2394102020031
8GironaGirona2494113235-331
9Osasuna2371062832-431
10Mallorca2394102029-931
11Getafe247982018230
12Real BetisBetis237882731-429
13Celta Vigo2384113437-328
14Sevilla237792534-928
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2365122838-1023
16Espanyol2365122235-1323
17Leganes2358101932-1323
18Valencia2357112437-1322
19AlavesAlaves2356122535-1021
20Real ValladolidValladolid2343161548-3315


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