La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 20

Jan 18, 2025 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Leganes
1 - 0
Atletico

Nastasic (49')
Neyou (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Barrios (43'), Galan (57'), Lenglet (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Leganes and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leganes

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Almeria 2-3 Leganes
Wednesday, January 15 at 6.30pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Elche 0-4 Atletico
Wednesday, January 15 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 76.13%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 7.05%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (15.31%) and 0-3 (11.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Leganes win it was 1-0 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Leganes	Draw	Atletico Madrid
7.05% ( -0.09)	16.81% ( -0.16)	76.13% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 34.21% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.27% (

0.33)

50.73% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.38% (

0.29)

72.62% (

-0.29)

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

38.69% (

-0.04)

61.31% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.7% (

-0.02)

91.3% (

0.02)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.41% (

0.16)

11.59% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.44% (

0.35)

36.56% (

-0.35)

Score Analysis

Leganes 7.05%

Atletico Madrid 76.12%

Draw 16.82%

Leganes	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.75% Total : 7.05%	1-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 16.82%	0-2 @ 16.49% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 15.31% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 11.85% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 6.39% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 5.8% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 3.13% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 2.75% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) 0-6 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.58% Total : 76.12%