Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 75.35%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Marbella had a probability of 7.39%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (15.46%) and 0-3 (11.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a Marbella win it was 1-0 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Marbella	Draw	Atletico Madrid
7.39% ( -0.08)	17.27% ( -0.09)	75.35% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 34.49% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.62% (

0.11)

51.38% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.8% (

0.09)

73.2% (

-0.09)

Marbella Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

39.19% (

-0.13)

60.81% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.94% (

-0.07)

91.06% (

0.07)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.01% (

0.08)

11.99% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.58% (

0.17)

37.42% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Marbella 7.39%

Atletico Madrid 75.33%

Draw 17.27%

Marbella	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.95% Total : 7.39%	1-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 17.27%	0-2 @ 16.4% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 15.46% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 11.59% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 6.15% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.77% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 2.61% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 0-6 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 75.33%