Copa del Rey
Jan 4, 2025 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • Marcos Olguin 85' yellowcard
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 16'
  • yellowcard Clement Lenglet 62'
  • yellowcard Javi Galan 73'
  • yellowcard Koke 90'

Marbella vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Marbella

All competitions

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 75.35%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Marbella had a probability of 7.39%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (15.46%) and 0-3 (11.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a Marbella win it was 1-0 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result

Marbella 7.39% (-0.08)
Draw 17.27% (-0.10)
Atletico Madrid 75.35% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

34.49% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.62% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 51.38% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 26.8% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 73.2% (-0.09)
Over 4.5 12.52% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 87.48% (-0.06)

Marbella Goals

Over 0.5 39.19% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 60.81% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 8.94% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 91.06% (+0.08)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 88.01% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 11.99% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 62.58% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 37.42% (-0.17)

Score analysis

Marbella 7.39%
Draw 17.27%
Atletico Madrid 75.33%
Marbella
1-0 @ 3.63% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 1.91% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 7.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.69% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 2.03% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 17.27%
Atletico Madrid
0-2 @ 16.4% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 15.46% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 11.59% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 8.16% (-0.03)
0-4 @ 6.15% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 5.77% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 3.06% (+0.02)
0-5 @ 2.61% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.3% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 75.33%