La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 17

Dec 15, 2024 at 1pm UK

Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Atletico
1 - 0
Getafe

Sorloth (69')
Correa (72'), De Paul (90'), Koke (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Iglesias (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Getafe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico 3-1 Slovan Bratislava
Wednesday, December 11 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Getafe

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Getafe 1-0 Espanyol
Monday, December 9 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 72.09%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 9.73%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.47%) and 3-0 (10.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Getafe
72.09% ( 0.3)	18.17% ( -0.07)	9.73% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 41.25% (

-0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.08% (

-0.34)

47.92% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.9% (

-0.31)

70.1% (

0.31)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.08% (

-0.01)

11.91% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.74% (

-0.03)

37.26% (

0.03)

Getafe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.84% (

-0.68)

53.16% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.25% (

-0.44)

86.75% (

0.44)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 72.08%

Getafe 9.73%

Draw 18.17%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Getafe
2-0 @ 14.33% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 13.47% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.96% Total : 72.08%	1-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.47% Total : 18.17%	0-1 @ 4% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.78% Total : 9.73%