Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Marbella

Marbella
1 - 3
Racing de Ferrol

Tulio (71')
Utrilla (111')
FT
(aet)
Merino (43'), Gimenez (103', 116')
Manzanara (76'), Castro (79')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Marbella and Racing Club de Ferrol.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Marbella 2-3 Valladolid
Tuesday, January 5 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
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Last Game: Racing 1-3 Racing de Ferrol
Sunday, October 29 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club de Ferrol win with a probability of 45.26%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Marbella had a probability of 27.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club de Ferrol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.94%) and 1-2 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Marbella win it was 1-0 (9.65%).

Result
MarbellaDrawRacing Club de Ferrol
27.01% (-0.023 -0.02)27.72% (0.0019999999999989 0)45.26% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 45.65% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.46% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)59.54% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.11% (-0.012 -0.01)79.88% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Marbella Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.91% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)38.08% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.15% (-0.026 -0.03)74.85% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Racing Club de Ferrol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.74% (0.0019999999999953 0)26.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)61.37% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Marbella 27.01%
    Racing Club de Ferrol 45.26%
    Draw 27.71%
MarbellaDrawRacing Club de Ferrol
1-0 @ 9.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 6.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 4.66% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 2.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.5% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.34% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 27.01%
1-1 @ 12.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.71%
0-1 @ 13.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.94% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.63%
0-3 @ 3.99% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-3 @ 3.85%
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.33% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 45.26%

rhs 2.0


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